Jacksonville Jaguars carries the strongest straight-up model probability on the slate. Every number below is tied to the displayed market snapshot and a pregame model run.
Final: Buccaneers 24, Cowboys 16
This game started before FTT's first prediction snapshot, so the page shows market context and the result when available without inventing a pregame pick.
Market: TB +400 · DAL -535 · total 49.5
Full game file →
Jacksonville Jaguars 15–28
Market: PHI +310 · JAX -395 · total 41.5
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Chicago Bears 26–20
Market: CHI -130 · GB +110 · total 46.5
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Cincinnati Bengals 24–22
Market: CIN -355 · MIA +280 · total 43.5
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Cleveland Browns 23–19
Market: CLE +114 · NYJ -135 · total 39.5
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Houston Texans 26–16
Market: HOU -345 · TEN +275 · total 37.5
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Pittsburgh Steelers 23–24
Market: IND +124 · PIT -148 · total 43.5
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New England Patriots 16–27
Market: LV +160 · NE -192 · total 45.5
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Minnesota Vikings 25–18
Market: MIN -130 · NO +110 · total 41.5
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New York Giants 25–22
Market: NYG +150 · WAS -180 · total 41.5
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Denver Broncos 25–18
Market: DEN -192 · LAC +160 · total 41.5
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Detroit Lions 31–23
Market: DET -258 · ARI +210 · total 54.5
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Seattle Seahawks 23–24
Market: SF +136 · SEA -162 · total 45.5
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Atlanta Falcons 24–25
Market: BAL +145 · ATL -175 · total 43.5
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Los Angeles Rams 23–28
Market: BUF +150 · LAR -180 · total 54.5
Full game file →FTT blends opponent-adjusted scoring margin, recent scoring, prior-season strength, site and rest. The market line is a separate input used only to calculate the displayed difference.
The same rules went 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals across 208 games in the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward. The ATS and totals records were effectively coin flips; the displayed differences are research signals, not a proven wagering edge.
See the complete methodology →The page ranks the current model differences and shows the evidence for every game. A larger difference is a stronger model signal, not a guaranteed result.
FTT reads the nflverse schedule release, stores the market snapshot time, and freezes each pregame record at kickoff. It does not scrape or name an individual sportsbook.
The model blends opponent-adjusted scoring margin, recent points scored and allowed, prior-season strength, home field and rest. Market lines are shown for comparison, not used to create the team rating.
No. Pregame projections and the attached line snapshot freeze at kickoff. Final scores then grade the archived call without rewriting it.