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2026 NFL · Week 5 · Projected final scores

NFL Week 5 Score Predictions.

Jacksonville Jaguars leads the strongest projected result on a 14-game board, with PHI 15 and JAX 28.

Updated Oct 10, 2026, 8:27 PM EDT. Projections refresh before kickoff, then the archived call stays fixed.

TBBuccaneers
—
at
DALCowboys
—

Thursday, Oct 8 · 8:15 PM ET · projected total — · listed total 49.5

Game file →
PHIEagles
15
at
JAXJaguars
28

Sunday, Oct 11 · 9:30 AM ET · projected total 42.7 · listed total 41.5

Jaguars game file →
CHIBears
26
at
GBPackers
20

Sunday, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · projected total 45.9 · listed total 46.5

Bears game file →
CINBengals
24
at
MIADolphins
22

Sunday, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · projected total 45.4 · listed total 43.5

Bengals game file →
CLEBrowns
23
at
NYJJets
19

Sunday, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · projected total 42.5 · listed total 39.5

Browns game file →
HOUTexans
26
at
TENTitans
16

Sunday, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · projected total 42.2 · listed total 37.5

Texans game file →
INDColts
23
at
PITSteelers
24

Sunday, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · projected total 47.6 · listed total 43.5

Steelers game file →
LVRaiders
16
at
NEPatriots
27

Sunday, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · projected total 43.1 · listed total 45.5

Patriots game file →
MINVikings
25
at
NOSaints
18

Sunday, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · projected total 43.1 · listed total 41.5

Vikings game file →
NYGGiants
25
at
WASCommanders
22

Sunday, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · projected total 47.1 · listed total 41.5

Giants game file →
DENBroncos
25
at
LACChargers
18

Sunday, Oct 11 · 4:05 PM ET · projected total 42.2 · listed total 41.5

Broncos game file →
DETLions
31
at
ARICardinals
23

Sunday, Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET · projected total 53.6 · listed total 54.5

Lions game file →
SF49ers
23
at
SEASeahawks
24

Sunday, Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET · projected total 46.0 · listed total 45.5

Seahawks game file →
BALRavens
24
at
ATLFalcons
25

Sunday, Oct 11 · 8:20 PM ET · projected total 48.1 · listed total 43.5

Falcons game file →
BUFBills
23
at
LARRams
28

Monday, Oct 12 · 8:15 PM ET · projected total 50.3 · listed total 54.5

Rams game file →
How to use it

Use the score, then inspect the assumptions.

Projected totals come from each team's scoring and defensive profile, regressed toward the previous season. The projected margin then splits that total into two team scores.

Exact scores are best read as a compact description of pace and expected margin, not a claim that the game will land on a precise number.

The model uses only information available before the target week: opponent-adjusted team strength, scoring form, prior-season strength, home field and rest. Market odds are shown for context and do not create the team rating.

Read the methodology →
Questions, answered

What are the NFL Week 5 score predictions?

FTT ranks the complete weekly slate from a pregame team-strength model and links every answer to its matchup evidence.

When do these NFL picks update?

The board refreshes with the scheduled data release before kickoff. Each game prediction freezes when that game starts.

Does the model use the betting line to make its pick?

No. Team strength, scoring, site and rest create the prediction. The timestamped market line is shown separately for comparison.

Are these guaranteed picks?

No. Probabilities and score projections describe uncertainty; they do not guarantee an outcome or profit.