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Methodology // 2026.08.1

The calculator shows its work.

No generated explanation and no mystery multiplier. These are the exact deterministic rules behind every current result.

01 // Base values

One shared market scale.

Every player and rookie pick enters the calculator on Tradyr’s 0–1000 composite market scale. The selected format—dynasty or redraft, 1QB or Superflex, and TE premium—determines which market set is loaded.

The raw total is the simple sum of every asset on a side. It is shown for reference, but it is not the default verdict when roster cost is enabled.

RAW SIDE VALUE = Σ ASSET MARKET SCORE
02 // Roster cost

A dollar beats loose change.

Assets are sorted from highest to lowest value. The best asset keeps 100% of its score. Additional pieces receive the weights below. Turn roster cost off to use a pure additive total.

PieceWeightReason
Best asset100%Sets the package anchor
2nd90%Small roster cost
3rd84%Replacement friction
4th79%Bench / cut pressure
5th75%Deep-package discount
6th+72% → 68%Diminishing practical utility
03 // Verdict bands

A range, not fake precision.

0–4%

Fair trade

4–10%

Leans one side

10–18%

Clear edge

18%+

Strong edge

04 // Matchup temperature

The calendar, with a visible baseline.

Team pages grade each scheduled game from 0 to 100. The largest input is the opponent's prior-season NFL scoring-defense rank: No. 1 allowed the fewest points and creates the cold end of the scale; No. 32 allowed the most and creates the hot end.

SCORE = 50 + (DEFENSE RANK − 16.5) × 2.35
+ SITE (HOME +4 · AWAY −2 · NEUTRAL 0)
+ REST DIFFERENCE (CAPPED AT ±4 DAYS) × 1.25
FINAL SCORE = CLAMPED TO 0–100
Cold
0–31
Cool
32–43
Balanced
44–56
Warm
57–67
Hot
68–100

The score describes an overall scoring environment. It does not include positional fantasy points allowed, current injuries, depth-chart changes, weather, or player usage, so it is never presented as a start/sit projection.

Known limits

What the model does not pretend to know.

The verdict does not yet model your exact scoring, starting lineup, standings, player exposure, injury tolerance, or another manager’s incentives. It is a transparent market baseline. League-aware Sleeper analysis is the next major product layer, and it will be labeled separately from the generic market calculation.