AwayGiants
HomeEagles
Sunday · Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
New York Giants 25–20
- Win pick
- Giants 63%
- ATS lean
- NYG -3
- Total lean
- Over 40.5
Market: NYG -155 · PHI +130 · total 40.5
Full game file →2026 NFL · market snapshot Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST
NFL Week 9 Over/Under Picks.
Giants–Eagles has the largest current model-to-total difference. Every number below is tied to the displayed market snapshot and a pregame model run.
- Games on the slate
- 15
- 2025 straight up
- 60.1%
- 2025 ATS
- 81–82
- 2025 totals
- 81–80
AwayPackers
HomePatriots
Sunday · Nov 8 · 4:25 PM ET
New England Patriots 20–24
- Win pick
- Patriots 60%
- ATS lean
- Pass
- Total lean
- Under 47.5
Market: GB +124 · NE -148 · total 47.5
Full game file →
AwayJaguars
HomeRavens
Thursday · Nov 5 · 8:15 PM ET
Jacksonville Jaguars 30–17
- Win pick
- Jaguars 83%
- ATS lean
- JAX -8.5
- Total lean
- Over 43.5
Market: JAX -410 · BAL +320 · total 43.5
Full game file →
AwayFalcons
HomeBengals
Sunday · Nov 8 · 9:30 AM ET
Cincinnati Bengals 22–27
- Win pick
- Bengals 63%
- ATS lean
- CIN +3
- Total lean
- Under 51.5
Market: ATL -162 · CIN +136 · total 51.5
Full game file →
AwayJets
HomeChiefs
Sunday · Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
Kansas City Chiefs 17–27
- Win pick
- Chiefs 76%
- ATS lean
- Pass
- Total lean
- Under 46.5
Market: NYJ +400 · KC -520 · total 46.5
Full game file →
AwayCardinals
HomeSeahawks
Sunday · Nov 8 · 4:25 PM ET
Seattle Seahawks 16–31
- Win pick
- Seahawks 86%
- ATS lean
- SEA -11.5
- Total lean
- Over 44.5
Market: ARI +500 · SEA -700 · total 44.5
Full game file →
AwayBuccaneers
HomeBears
Sunday · Nov 8 · 8:20 PM ET
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23–22
- Win pick
- Buccaneers 52%
- ATS lean
- TB +5.5
- Total lean
- Under 47.5
Market: TB +195 · CHI -238 · total 47.5
Full game file →
AwayBroncos
HomePanthers
Sunday · Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
Denver Broncos 26–20
- Win pick
- Broncos 66%
- ATS lean
- DEN -3
- Total lean
- Over 43.5
Market: DEN -155 · CAR +130 · total 43.5
Full game file →
AwayRaiders
Home49ers
Sunday · Nov 8 · 4:05 PM ET
San Francisco 49ers 19–31
- Win pick
- 49ers 81%
- ATS lean
- SF -9.5
- Total lean
- Under 51.5
Market: LV +380 · SF -500 · total 51.5
Full game file →
AwayTexans
HomeChargers
Sunday · Nov 8 · 4:05 PM ET
Houston Texans 25–18
- Win pick
- Texans 70%
- ATS lean
- HOU -4.5
- Total lean
- Over 41.5
Market: HOU -218 · LAC +180 · total 41.5
Full game file →
AwayLions
HomeDolphins
Sunday · Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
Detroit Lions 28–21
- Win pick
- Lions 71%
- ATS lean
- Pass
- Total lean
- Pass
Market: DET -375 · MIA +295 · total 49.5
Full game file →
AwayBills
HomeVikings
Monday · Nov 9 · 8:15 PM ET
Buffalo Bills 24–22
- Win pick
- Bills 56%
- ATS lean
- Pass
- Total lean
- Pass
Market: BUF -155 · MIN +130 · total 46.5
Full game file →
AwayCowboys
HomeColts
Sunday · Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
Dallas Cowboys 27–26
- Win pick
- Cowboys 53%
- ATS lean
- IND +5.5
- Total lean
- Pass
Market: DAL -260 · IND +215 · total 51.5
Full game file →
AwayBrowns
HomeSaints
Sunday · Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
New Orleans Saints 20–23
- Win pick
- Saints 60%
- ATS lean
- Pass
- Total lean
- Pass
Market: CLE +120 · NO -142 · total 43.5
Full game file →
AwayRams
HomeCommanders
Sunday · Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Rams 27–20
- Win pick
- Rams 70%
- ATS lean
- LAR -5.5
- Total lean
- Pass
Market: LAR -230 · WAS +190 · total 47.5
Full game file →Read the number
A model difference, not a promise.
FTT blends opponent-adjusted scoring margin, recent scoring, prior-season strength, site and rest. The market line is a separate input used only to calculate the displayed difference.
The same rules went 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals across 208 games in the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward. The ATS and totals records were effectively coin flips; the displayed differences are research signals, not a proven wagering edge.
See the complete methodology →What are the best NFL Week 9 over/under picks?
The page ranks the current model differences and shows the evidence for every game. A larger difference is a stronger model signal, not a guaranteed result.
Where do the odds and lines come from?
FTT reads the nflverse schedule release, stores the market snapshot time, and freezes each pregame record at kickoff. It does not scrape or name an individual sportsbook.
How does the FTT NFL model work?
The model blends opponent-adjusted scoring margin, recent points scored and allowed, prior-season strength, home field and rest. Market lines are shown for comparison, not used to create the team rating.
Do the picks update after kickoff?
No. Pregame projections and the attached line snapshot freeze at kickoff. Final scores then grade the archived call without rewriting it.