Away
25New York Giants
- Record
- 4-2-1
- FTT rating
- -2.4
- Listed QB
- McCarthy
NFL Week 9 · Sunday, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
Giants vs. Eagles prediction.
New York Giants is the FTT straight-up pick at 63% model probability. The projected score is NYG 25, PHI 20.
Market snapshot: Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
20Philadelphia Eagles
- Record
- 2-6
- FTT rating
- -7.9
- Listed QB
- McKee
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | PHI 42% market | PHI 37% model | New York Giants -155 | 5.0 points |
| Spread | PHI +3 | PHI +4.6 | New York Giants -3 | 1.6 points |
| Total | O/U 40.5 | 44.5 | Over 40.5 | 4.0 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
New York Giants entered Week 9 at 4-2-1 with a +0.3 point differential per game. Philadelphia Eagles entered at 2-6 and -8.1 per game.
Philadelphia Eagles receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is away by 7 days.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Giants vs. Eagles?
The FTT model picks New York Giants. Its projected score is NYG 25, PHI 20.
What is the Giants vs. Eagles spread pick?
The model leans New York Giants -3, with a 1.6-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Giants vs. Eagles over/under pick?
The model leans over 40.5, with a 4.0-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.