Away
20Cleveland Browns
- Record
- 5-3
- FTT rating
- -5.0
- Listed QB
- Watson
NFL Week 9 · Sunday, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
Browns vs. Saints prediction.
New Orleans Saints is the FTT straight-up pick at 60% model probability. The projected score is CLE 20, NO 23.
Market snapshot: Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
23New Orleans Saints
- Record
- 2-5
- FTT rating
- -3.8
- Listed QB
- Shough
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | NO 56% market | NO 60% model | New Orleans Saints -142 | 3.4 points |
| Spread | NO -2.5 | NO -3.3 | Pass | 0.8 points |
| Total | O/U 43.5 | 43.4 | Pass | 0.1 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Cleveland Browns entered Week 9 at 5-3 with a -4.3 point differential per game. New Orleans Saints entered at 2-5 and -4.6 per game.
New Orleans Saints receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is home by 7 days.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Browns vs. Saints?
The FTT model picks New Orleans Saints. Its projected score is CLE 20, NO 23.
What is the Browns vs. Saints spread pick?
The model difference is under one point, so FTT passes at -2.5.
What is the Browns vs. Saints over/under pick?
The model difference is under one point, so FTT passes on the 43.5 total.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.