What are the NFL Week 9 straight-up picks?
FTT ranks the complete weekly slate from a pregame team-strength model and links every answer to its matchup evidence.
2026 NFL · Week 9 · Win probabilities
NFL Week 9 Straight-Up Picks.
Seattle Seahawks is the strongest straight-up pick at 86%, followed by the rest of the slate in probability order.
Updated Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST. Projections refresh before kickoff, then the archived call stays fixed.
| Rank | Pick | Opponent | FTT win chance | Market | Projected score | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Seattle Seahawks | vs. Cardinals | 86% | -700 | ARI 16, SEA 31 | Game file → |
| 2 |  Jacksonville Jaguars | vs. Ravens | 83% | -410 | JAX 30, BAL 17 | Game file → |
| 3 |  San Francisco 49ers | vs. Raiders | 81% | -500 | LV 19, SF 31 | Game file → |
| 4 |  Kansas City Chiefs | vs. Jets | 76% | -520 | NYJ 17, KC 27 | Game file → |
| 5 |  Detroit Lions | vs. Dolphins | 71% | -375 | DET 28, MIA 21 | Game file → |
| 6 |  Los Angeles Rams | vs. Commanders | 70% | -230 | LAR 27, WAS 20 | Game file → |
| 7 |  Houston Texans | vs. Chargers | 70% | -218 | HOU 25, LAC 18 | Game file → |
| 8 |  Denver Broncos | vs. Panthers | 66% | -155 | DEN 26, CAR 20 | Game file → |
| 9 |  New York Giants | vs. Eagles | 63% | -155 | NYG 25, PHI 20 | Game file → |
| 10 |  Cincinnati Bengals | vs. Falcons | 63% | +136 | ATL 22, CIN 27 | Game file → |
| 11 |  New England Patriots | vs. Packers | 60% | -148 | GB 20, NE 24 | Game file → |
| 12 |  New Orleans Saints | vs. Browns | 60% | -142 | CLE 20, NO 23 | Game file → |
| 13 |  Buffalo Bills | vs. Vikings | 56% | -155 | BUF 24, MIN 22 | Game file → |
| 14 |  Dallas Cowboys | vs. Colts | 53% | -260 | DAL 27, IND 26 | Game file → |
| 15 |  Tampa Bay Buccaneers | vs. Bears | 52% | +195 | TB 23, CHI 22 | Game file → |
How to use it
Rank the slate by win probability.
The table orders every pick by the model's estimated chance to win, independent of the point spread. Moneylines are displayed as market context.
Use the probability gap to separate clear favorites from toss-ups. A 52% pick and a 51% pick should not be treated as meaningfully different.
The model uses only information available before the target week: opponent-adjusted team strength, scoring form, prior-season strength, home field and rest. Market odds are shown for context and do not create the team rating.
Read the methodology →When do these NFL picks update?
The board refreshes with the scheduled data release before kickoff. Each game prediction freezes when that game starts.
Does the model use the betting line to make its pick?
No. Team strength, scoring, site and rest create the prediction. The timestamped market line is shown separately for comparison.
Are these guaranteed picks?
No. Probabilities and score projections describe uncertainty; they do not guarantee an outcome or profit.