Away
30Jacksonville Jaguars
- Record
- 5-2
- FTT rating
- +9.5
- Listed QB
- Lawrence
NFL Week 9 · Thursday, Nov 5 · 8:15 PM ET
Jaguars vs. Ravens prediction.
Jacksonville Jaguars is the FTT straight-up pick at 83% model probability. The projected score is JAX 30, BAL 17.
Market snapshot: Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
17Baltimore Ravens
- Record
- 4-4
- FTT rating
- -5.1
- Listed QB
- Huntley
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | BAL 23% market | BAL 17% model | Jacksonville Jaguars -410 | 6.3 points |
| Spread | BAL +8.5 | BAL +13.1 | Jacksonville Jaguars -8.5 | 4.6 points |
| Total | O/U 43.5 | 46.4 | Over 43.5 | 2.9 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Jacksonville Jaguars entered Week 9 at 5-2 with a +12.1 point differential per game. Baltimore Ravens entered at 4-4 and -3.0 per game.
Baltimore Ravens receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is even.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Jaguars vs. Ravens?
The FTT model picks Jacksonville Jaguars. Its projected score is JAX 30, BAL 17.
What is the Jaguars vs. Ravens spread pick?
The model leans Jacksonville Jaguars -8.5, with a 4.6-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Jaguars vs. Ravens over/under pick?
The model leans over 43.5, with a 2.9-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.