Away
22Atlanta Falcons
- Record
- 3-5
- FTT rating
- -0.7
- Listed QB
- Jr.
NFL Week 9 · Sunday, Nov 8 · 9:30 AM ET
Falcons vs. Bengals prediction.
Cincinnati Bengals is the FTT straight-up pick at 63% model probability. The projected score is ATL 22, CIN 27.
Market snapshot: Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
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27Cincinnati Bengals
- Record
- 5-2
- FTT rating
- +3.6
- Listed QB
- Burrow
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | CIN 41% market | CIN 63% model | Cincinnati Bengals +136 | 22.1 points |
| Spread | CIN +3 | CIN -4.4 | Cincinnati Bengals +3 | 7.4 points |
| Total | O/U 51.5 | 48.6 | Under 51.5 | 2.9 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Atlanta Falcons entered Week 9 at 3-5 with a -2.3 point differential per game. Cincinnati Bengals entered at 5-2 and +6.9 per game.
The game is at a neutral site. The rest difference is even.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Falcons vs. Bengals?
The FTT model picks Cincinnati Bengals. Its projected score is ATL 22, CIN 27.
What is the Falcons vs. Bengals spread pick?
The model leans Cincinnati Bengals +3, with a 7.4-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Falcons vs. Bengals over/under pick?
The model leans under 51.5, with a 2.9-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.