What are the NFL Week 6 confidence pool picks?
FTT ranks the complete weekly slate from a pregame team-strength model and links every answer to its matchup evidence.
2026 NFL · Week 6 · Confidence points
NFL Week 6 Confidence Pool Picks.
San Francisco 49ers gets the highest confidence assignment at 90%. Point values descend across the full slate.
Updated Oct 10, 2026, 8:27 PM EDT. Projections refresh before kickoff, then the archived call stays fixed.
| Points | Pick | Opponent | FTT win chance | Market | Projected score | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |  San Francisco 49ers | vs. Commanders | 90% | -425 | WAS 16, SF 33 | Game file → |
| 13 |  Los Angeles Rams | vs. Cardinals | 88% | -650 | ARI 16, LAR 32 | Game file → |
| 12 |  New England Patriots | vs. Jets | 88% | -325 | NYJ 14, NE 29 | Game file → |
| 11 |  Indianapolis Colts | vs. Titans | 84% | -290 | TEN 16, IND 29 | Game file → |
| 10 |  Jacksonville Jaguars | vs. Texans | 81% | -175 | HOU 16, JAX 28 | Game file → |
| 9 |  Kansas City Chiefs | vs. Chargers | 80% | -395 | LAC 16, KC 27 | Game file → |
| 8 |  Buffalo Bills | vs. Raiders | 66% | -230 | BUF 27, LV 22 | Game file → |
| 7 |  Green Bay Packers | vs. Cowboys | 62% | +108 | DAL 23, GB 27 | Game file → |
| 6 |  Chicago Bears | vs. Falcons | 61% | -122 | CHI 25, ATL 21 | Game file → |
| 5 |  New York Giants | vs. Saints | 58% | -102 | NO 22, NYG 25 | Game file → |
| 4 |  Denver Broncos | vs. Seahawks | 53% | +102 | SEA 21, DEN 22 | Game file → |
| 3 |  Pittsburgh Steelers | vs. Buccaneers | 51% | -134 | PIT 23, TB 22 | Game file → |
| 2 |  Carolina Panthers | vs. Eagles | 51% | +110 | CAR 23, PHI 22 | Game file → |
| 1 |  Baltimore Ravens | vs. Browns | 51% | -166 | BAL 24, CLE 23 | Game file → |
How to use it
Convert probabilities into pool points.
The strongest pick receives the maximum points and every following game receives one fewer point. If your pool uses a different scale, preserve the order and remap the points.
Close probabilities are effectively ties. Use your pool's tiebreak rule instead of forcing certainty the model does not have.
The model uses only information available before the target week: opponent-adjusted team strength, scoring form, prior-season strength, home field and rest. Market odds are shown for context and do not create the team rating.
Read the methodology →When do these NFL picks update?
The board refreshes with the scheduled data release before kickoff. Each game prediction freezes when that game starts.
Does the model use the betting line to make its pick?
No. Team strength, scoring, site and rest create the prediction. The timestamped market line is shown separately for comparison.
Are these guaranteed picks?
No. Probabilities and score projections describe uncertainty; they do not guarantee an outcome or profit.