Away
21Seattle Seahawks
- Record
- 3-1
- FTT rating
- +6.1
- Listed QB
- Lock
NFL Week 6 · Thursday, Oct 15 · 8:15 PM ET
Seahawks vs. Broncos prediction.
Denver Broncos is the FTT straight-up pick at 53% model probability. The projected score is SEA 21, DEN 22.
Market snapshot: Oct 10, 2026, 8:27 PM EDT. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
22Denver Broncos
- Record
- 2-2
- FTT rating
- +5.5
- Listed QB
- Nix
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | DEN 47% market | DEN 53% model | Denver Broncos +102 | 5.2 points |
| Spread | DEN +1.5 | DEN -0.9 | Denver Broncos +1.5 | 2.4 points |
| Total | O/U 42.5 | 43.5 | Over 42.5 | 1.0 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Seattle Seahawks entered Week 6 at 3-1 with a +8.0 point differential per game. Denver Broncos entered at 2-2 and -5.0 per game.
Denver Broncos receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is even.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Seahawks vs. Broncos?
The FTT model picks Denver Broncos. Its projected score is SEA 21, DEN 22.
What is the Seahawks vs. Broncos spread pick?
The model leans Denver Broncos +1.5, with a 2.4-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Seahawks vs. Broncos over/under pick?
The model leans over 42.5, with a 1.0-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Oct 10, 2026, 8:27 PM EDT. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.