Away
23Carolina Panthers
- Record
- 2-2
- FTT rating
- +0.3
- Listed QB
- Young
NFL Week 6 · Sunday, Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET
Panthers vs. Eagles prediction.
Carolina Panthers is the FTT straight-up pick at 51% model probability. The projected score is CAR 23, PHI 22.
Market snapshot: Oct 10, 2026, 8:27 PM EDT. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
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22Philadelphia Eagles
- Record
- 2-2
- FTT rating
- -1.0
- Listed QB
- Hurts
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | PHI 54% market | PHI 49% model | Carolina Panthers +110 | 5.4 points |
| Spread | PHI -2.5 | PHI +0.4 | Carolina Panthers +2.5 | 2.9 points |
| Total | O/U 43.5 | 45.2 | Over 43.5 | 1.7 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Carolina Panthers entered Week 6 at 2-2 with a +3.0 point differential per game. Philadelphia Eagles entered at 2-2 and -4.5 per game.
Philadelphia Eagles receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is away by 7 days.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Panthers vs. Eagles?
The FTT model picks Carolina Panthers. Its projected score is CAR 23, PHI 22.
What is the Panthers vs. Eagles spread pick?
The model leans Carolina Panthers +2.5, with a 2.9-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Panthers vs. Eagles over/under pick?
The model leans over 43.5, with a 1.7-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Oct 10, 2026, 8:27 PM EDT. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.