Away
16Arizona Cardinals
- Record
- 1-3
- FTT rating
- -7.9
- Listed QB
- Brissett
NFL Week 6 · Sunday, Oct 18 · 4:05 PM ET
Cardinals vs. Rams prediction.
Los Angeles Rams is the FTT straight-up pick at 88% model probability. The projected score is ARI 16, LAR 32.
Market snapshot: Oct 10, 2026, 8:27 PM EDT. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
32Los Angeles Rams
- Record
- 2-2
- FTT rating
- +6.8
- Listed QB
- Stafford
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | LAR 83% market | LAR 88% model | Los Angeles Rams -650 | 5.2 points |
| Spread | LAR -10.5 | LAR -16.1 | Los Angeles Rams -10.5 | 5.6 points |
| Total | O/U 51.5 | 48.5 | Under 51.5 | 3.0 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Arizona Cardinals entered Week 6 at 1-3 with a -7.5 point differential per game. Los Angeles Rams entered at 2-2 and +0.5 per game.
Los Angeles Rams receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is away by 1 day.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Cardinals vs. Rams?
The FTT model picks Los Angeles Rams. Its projected score is ARI 16, LAR 32.
What is the Cardinals vs. Rams spread pick?
The model leans Los Angeles Rams -10.5, with a 5.6-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Cardinals vs. Rams over/under pick?
The model leans under 51.5, with a 3.0-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Oct 10, 2026, 8:27 PM EDT. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.