Away
22New Orleans Saints
- Record
- 1-3
- FTT rating
- -5.1
- Listed QB
- Shough
NFL Week 6 · Sunday, Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET
Saints vs. Giants prediction.
New York Giants is the FTT straight-up pick at 58% model probability. The projected score is NO 22, NYG 25.
Market snapshot: Oct 10, 2026, 8:27 PM EDT. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
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25New York Giants
- Record
- 3-1
- FTT rating
- -4.1
- Listed QB
- Winston
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | NYG 48% market | NYG 58% model | New York Giants -102 | 9.3 points |
| Spread | NYG +1.5 | NYG -2.6 | New York Giants +1.5 | 4.1 points |
| Total | O/U 45.5 | 46.7 | Over 45.5 | 1.2 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
New Orleans Saints entered Week 6 at 1-3 with a -5.8 point differential per game. New York Giants entered at 3-1 and +0.8 per game.
New York Giants receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is even.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Saints vs. Giants?
The FTT model picks New York Giants. Its projected score is NO 22, NYG 25.
What is the Saints vs. Giants spread pick?
The model leans New York Giants +1.5, with a 4.1-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Saints vs. Giants over/under pick?
The model leans over 45.5, with a 1.2-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Oct 10, 2026, 8:27 PM EDT. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.