Away
16Tennessee Titans
- Record
- 0-4
- FTT rating
- -11.0
- Listed QB
- Ward
NFL Week 6 · Sunday, Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET
Titans vs. Colts prediction.
Indianapolis Colts is the FTT straight-up pick at 84% model probability. The projected score is TEN 16, IND 29.
Market snapshot: Oct 10, 2026, 8:27 PM EDT. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
29Indianapolis Colts
- Record
- 2-2
- FTT rating
- +0.7
- Listed QB
- Jones
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | IND 71% market | IND 84% model | Indianapolis Colts -290 | 12.3 points |
| Spread | IND -6.5 | IND -13.2 | Indianapolis Colts -6.5 | 6.7 points |
| Total | O/U 44.5 | 45.7 | Over 44.5 | 1.2 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Tennessee Titans entered Week 6 at 0-4 with a -7.0 point differential per game. Indianapolis Colts entered at 2-2 and -0.5 per game.
Indianapolis Colts receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is even.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Titans vs. Colts?
The FTT model picks Indianapolis Colts. Its projected score is TEN 16, IND 29.
What is the Titans vs. Colts spread pick?
The model leans Indianapolis Colts -6.5, with a 6.7-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Titans vs. Colts over/under pick?
The model leans over 44.5, with a 1.2-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Oct 10, 2026, 8:27 PM EDT. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.