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2026 NFL · market snapshot Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT

NFL Week 7 Picks and Predictions.

Houston Texans carries the strongest straight-up model probability on the slate. Every number below is tied to the displayed market snapshot and a pregame model run.

Games on the slate
14
2025 straight up
60.1%
2025 ATS
81–82
2025 totals
81–80
AwayPatriots
AT
HomeBears
Thursday · Oct 22 · 8:15 PM ET

New England Patriots 24–21

Win pick
Patriots 56%
ATS lean
NE +3
Total lean
Under 50.5

Market: NE +130 · CHI -155 · total 50.5

Full game file →
AwaySaints
AT
HomeSteelers
Sunday · Oct 25 · 9:30 AM ET

Pittsburgh Steelers 20–28

Win pick
Steelers 71%
ATS lean
PIT +3.5
Total lean
Over 44.5

Market: NO -180 · PIT +150 · total 44.5

Full game file →
Away49ers
AT
HomeFalcons
Sunday · Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET

San Francisco 49ers 24–23

Win pick
49ers 53%
ATS lean
ATL +3
Total lean
Under 49.5

Market: SF -175 · ATL +145 · total 49.5

Full game file →
AwayBengals
AT
HomeRavens
Sunday · Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET

Baltimore Ravens 24–26

Win pick
Ravens 56%
ATS lean
CIN +3
Total lean
Under 51.5

Market: CIN +124 · BAL -148 · total 51.5

Full game file →
AwayBuccaneers
AT
HomePanthers
Sunday · Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET

Carolina Panthers 21–25

Win pick
Panthers 62%
ATS lean
Pass
Total lean
Over 44.5

Market: TB +154 · CAR -185 · total 44.5

Full game file →
AwayBrowns
AT
HomeTitans
Sunday · Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET

Cleveland Browns 23–15

Win pick
Browns 71%
ATS lean
CLE -1.5
Total lean
Pass

Market: CLE -125 · TEN +105 · total 37.5

Full game file →
AwayGiants
AT
HomeTexans
Sunday · Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET

Houston Texans 17–29

Win pick
Texans 81%
ATS lean
HOU -10
Total lean
Over 42.5

Market: NYG +400 · HOU -535 · total 42.5

Full game file →
AwayColts
AT
HomeVikings
Sunday · Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET

Minnesota Vikings 18–27

Win pick
Vikings 75%
ATS lean
MIN -6.5
Total lean
Over 41.5

Market: IND +235 · MIN -290 · total 41.5

Full game file →
AwayDolphins
AT
HomeJets
Sunday · Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET

New York Jets 19–23

Win pick
Jets 61%
ATS lean
Pass
Total lean
Over 38.5

Market: MIA +190 · NYJ -230 · total 38.5

Full game file →
AwayBroncos
AT
HomeCardinals
Sunday · Oct 25 · 4:05 PM ET

Denver Broncos 28–18

Win pick
Broncos 76%
ATS lean
DEN -4.5
Total lean
Over 43.5

Market: DEN -238 · ARI +195 · total 43.5

Full game file →
AwayPackers
AT
HomeLions
Sunday · Oct 25 · 4:25 PM ET

Detroit Lions 24–26

Win pick
Lions 56%
ATS lean
Pass
Total lean
Under 53.5

Market: GB +136 · DET -162 · total 53.5

Full game file →
AwayRams
AT
HomeRaiders
Sunday · Oct 25 · 4:25 PM ET

Los Angeles Rams 26–22

Win pick
Rams 63%
ATS lean
Pass
Total lean
Pass

Market: LAR -225 · LV +185 · total 48.5

Full game file →
AwayChiefs
AT
HomeSeahawks
Sunday · Oct 25 · 8:20 PM ET

Seattle Seahawks 21–23

Win pick
Seahawks 55%
ATS lean
KC +3
Total lean
Over 42.5

Market: KC +130 · SEA -155 · total 42.5

Full game file →
AwayCowboys
AT
HomeEagles
Monday · Oct 26 · 8:15 PM ET

Philadelphia Eagles 23–24

Win pick
Eagles 55%
ATS lean
PHI +4.5
Total lean
Over 44.5

Market: DAL -225 · PHI +185 · total 44.5

Full game file →
Read the number

A model difference, not a promise.

FTT blends opponent-adjusted scoring margin, recent scoring, prior-season strength, site and rest. The market line is a separate input used only to calculate the displayed difference.

The same rules went 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals across 208 games in the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward. The ATS and totals records were effectively coin flips; the displayed differences are research signals, not a proven wagering edge.

See the complete methodology →
Questions, answered

What are the best NFL Week 7 predictions?

The page ranks the current model differences and shows the evidence for every game. A larger difference is a stronger model signal, not a guaranteed result.

Where do the odds and lines come from?

FTT reads the nflverse schedule release, stores the market snapshot time, and freezes each pregame record at kickoff. It does not scrape or name an individual sportsbook.

How does the FTT NFL model work?

The model blends opponent-adjusted scoring margin, recent points scored and allowed, prior-season strength, home field and rest. Market lines are shown for comparison, not used to create the team rating.

Do the picks update after kickoff?

No. Pregame projections and the attached line snapshot freeze at kickoff. Final scores then grade the archived call without rewriting it.