Away
24Green Bay Packers
- Record
- 4-2
- FTT rating
- +4.4
- Listed QB
- Love
NFL Week 7 · Sunday, Oct 25 · 4:25 PM ET
Packers vs. Lions prediction.
Detroit Lions is the FTT straight-up pick at 56% model probability. The projected score is GB 24, DET 26.
Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
26Detroit Lions
- Record
- 3-2
- FTT rating
- +4.4
- Listed QB
- Goff
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | DET 59% market | DET 56% model | Detroit Lions -162 | 3.3 points |
| Spread | DET -3 | DET -2.1 | Pass | 0.9 points |
| Total | O/U 53.5 | 50.5 | Under 53.5 | 3.0 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Green Bay Packers entered Week 7 at 4-2 with a +0.3 point differential per game. Detroit Lions entered at 3-2 and +3.2 per game.
Detroit Lions receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is home by 7 days.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Packers vs. Lions?
The FTT model picks Detroit Lions. Its projected score is GB 24, DET 26.
What is the Packers vs. Lions spread pick?
The model difference is under one point, so FTT passes at +3.
What is the Packers vs. Lions over/under pick?
The model leans under 53.5, with a 3.0-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.