Away
21Kansas City Chiefs
- Record
- 5-0
- FTT rating
- +3.8
- Listed QB
- Mahomes
NFL Week 7 · Sunday, Oct 25 · 8:20 PM ET
Chiefs vs. Seahawks prediction.
Seattle Seahawks is the FTT straight-up pick at 55% model probability. The projected score is KC 21, SEA 23.
Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
23Seattle Seahawks
- Record
- 3-3
- FTT rating
- +3.4
- Listed QB
- Lock
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | SEA 58% market | SEA 55% model | Seattle Seahawks -155 | 3.4 points |
| Spread | SEA -3 | SEA -1.6 | Kansas City Chiefs +3 | 1.4 points |
| Total | O/U 42.5 | 44.1 | Over 42.5 | 1.6 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Kansas City Chiefs entered Week 7 at 5-0 with a +11.4 point differential per game. Seattle Seahawks entered at 3-3 and +4.3 per game.
Seattle Seahawks receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is home by 3 days.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Chiefs vs. Seahawks?
The FTT model picks Seattle Seahawks. Its projected score is KC 21, SEA 23.
What is the Chiefs vs. Seahawks spread pick?
The model leans Kansas City Chiefs +3, with a 1.4-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Chiefs vs. Seahawks over/under pick?
The model leans over 42.5, with a 1.6-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.