Away
20New Orleans Saints
- Record
- 2-4
- FTT rating
- -4.3
- Listed QB
- Shough
NFL Week 7 · Sunday, Oct 25 · 9:30 AM ET
Saints vs. Steelers prediction.
Pittsburgh Steelers is the FTT straight-up pick at 71% model probability. The projected score is NO 20, PIT 28.
Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
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28Pittsburgh Steelers
- Record
- 4-2
- FTT rating
- +3.0
- Listed QB
- Rodgers
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | PIT 38% market | PIT 71% model | Pittsburgh Steelers +150 | 32.2 points |
| Spread | PIT +3.5 | PIT -7.3 | Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 | 10.8 points |
| Total | O/U 44.5 | 47.8 | Over 44.5 | 3.3 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
New Orleans Saints entered Week 7 at 2-4 with a -4.3 point differential per game. Pittsburgh Steelers entered at 4-2 and +1.5 per game.
The game is at a neutral site. The rest difference is even.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Saints vs. Steelers?
The FTT model picks Pittsburgh Steelers. Its projected score is NO 20, PIT 28.
What is the Saints vs. Steelers spread pick?
The model leans Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5, with a 10.8-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Saints vs. Steelers over/under pick?
The model leans over 44.5, with a 3.3-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.