Away
26Los Angeles Rams
- Record
- 2-4
- FTT rating
- +0.4
- Listed QB
- Stafford
NFL Week 7 · Sunday, Oct 25 · 4:25 PM ET
Rams vs. Raiders prediction.
Los Angeles Rams is the FTT straight-up pick at 63% model probability. The projected score is LAR 26, LV 22.
Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
22Las Vegas Raiders
- Record
- 3-3
- FTT rating
- -5.5
- Listed QB
- Cousins
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | LV 34% market | LV 37% model | Los Angeles Rams -225 | 3.5 points |
| Spread | LV +4.5 | LV +4.4 | Pass | 0.1 points |
| Total | O/U 48.5 | 48.5 | Pass | 0.0 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Los Angeles Rams entered Week 7 at 2-4 with a -0.5 point differential per game. Las Vegas Raiders entered at 3-3 and +0.0 per game.
Las Vegas Raiders receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is even.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Rams vs. Raiders?
The FTT model picks Los Angeles Rams. Its projected score is LAR 26, LV 22.
What is the Rams vs. Raiders spread pick?
The model difference is under one point, so FTT passes at +4.5.
What is the Rams vs. Raiders over/under pick?
The model difference is under one point, so FTT passes on the 48.5 total.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.