Away
28Denver Broncos
- Record
- 4-2
- FTT rating
- +0.9
- Listed QB
- Nix
NFL Week 7 · Sunday, Oct 25 · 4:05 PM ET
Broncos vs. Cardinals prediction.
Denver Broncos is the FTT straight-up pick at 76% model probability. The projected score is DEN 28, ARI 18.
Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
18Arizona Cardinals
- Record
- 2-4
- FTT rating
- -9.8
- Listed QB
- Brissett
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | ARI 33% market | ARI 24% model | Denver Broncos -238 | 8.9 points |
| Spread | ARI +4.5 | ARI +9.7 | Denver Broncos -4.5 | 5.2 points |
| Total | O/U 43.5 | 45.4 | Over 43.5 | 1.9 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Denver Broncos entered Week 7 at 4-2 with a -1.8 point differential per game. Arizona Cardinals entered at 2-4 and -8.7 per game.
Arizona Cardinals receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is away by 3 days.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Broncos vs. Cardinals?
The FTT model picks Denver Broncos. Its projected score is DEN 28, ARI 18.
What is the Broncos vs. Cardinals spread pick?
The model leans Denver Broncos -4.5, with a 5.2-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Broncos vs. Cardinals over/under pick?
The model leans over 43.5, with a 1.9-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.