Away
18Indianapolis Colts
- Record
- 2-4
- FTT rating
- -2.1
- Listed QB
- Jones
NFL Week 7 · Sunday, Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
Colts vs. Vikings prediction.
Minnesota Vikings is the FTT straight-up pick at 75% model probability. The projected score is IND 18, MIN 27.
Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
27Minnesota Vikings
- Record
- 5-0
- FTT rating
- +4.7
- Listed QB
- Murray
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | MIN 71% market | MIN 75% model | Minnesota Vikings -290 | 3.2 points |
| Spread | MIN -6.5 | MIN -8.9 | Minnesota Vikings -6.5 | 2.4 points |
| Total | O/U 41.5 | 44.0 | Over 41.5 | 2.5 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Indianapolis Colts entered Week 7 at 2-4 with a -3.3 point differential per game. Minnesota Vikings entered at 5-0 and +9.0 per game.
Minnesota Vikings receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is home by 7 days.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Colts vs. Vikings?
The FTT model picks Minnesota Vikings. Its projected score is IND 18, MIN 27.
What is the Colts vs. Vikings spread pick?
The model leans Minnesota Vikings -6.5, with a 2.4-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Colts vs. Vikings over/under pick?
The model leans over 41.5, with a 2.5-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.