Away
23Dallas Cowboys
- Record
- 2-4
- FTT rating
- -2.2
- Listed QB
- Prescott
NFL Week 7 · Monday, Oct 26 · 8:15 PM ET
Cowboys vs. Eagles prediction.
Philadelphia Eagles is the FTT straight-up pick at 55% model probability. The projected score is DAL 23, PHI 24.
Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
24Philadelphia Eagles
- Record
- 2-4
- FTT rating
- -2.1
- Listed QB
- Hurts
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | PHI 34% market | PHI 55% model | Philadelphia Eagles +185 | 21.1 points |
| Spread | PHI +4.5 | PHI -1.6 | Philadelphia Eagles +4.5 | 6.1 points |
| Total | O/U 44.5 | 47.1 | Over 44.5 | 2.6 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Dallas Cowboys entered Week 7 at 2-4 with a -1.3 point differential per game. Philadelphia Eagles entered at 2-4 and -5.2 per game.
Philadelphia Eagles receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is even.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Cowboys vs. Eagles?
The FTT model picks Philadelphia Eagles. Its projected score is DAL 23, PHI 24.
What is the Cowboys vs. Eagles spread pick?
The model leans Philadelphia Eagles +4.5, with a 6.1-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Cowboys vs. Eagles over/under pick?
The model leans over 44.5, with a 2.6-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.