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2026 NFL · market snapshot Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT

NFL Week 8 Picks and Predictions.

New England Patriots carries the strongest straight-up model probability on the slate. Every number below is tied to the displayed market snapshot and a pregame model run.

Games on the slate
14
2025 straight up
60.1%
2025 ATS
81–82
2025 totals
81–80
AwayPanthers
AT
HomePackers
Thursday · Oct 29 · 8:15 PM ET

Green Bay Packers 21–25

Win pick
Packers 61%
ATS lean
Pass
Total lean
Under 47.5

Market: CAR +130 · GB -155 · total 47.5

Full game file →
AwayCardinals
AT
HomeCowboys
Sunday · Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET

Dallas Cowboys 21–30

Win pick
Cowboys 75%
ATS lean
DAL -6.5
Total lean
Pass

Market: ARI +245 · DAL -305 · total 51.5

Full game file →
AwayFalcons
AT
HomeBuccaneers
Sunday · Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23–24

Win pick
Buccaneers 51%
ATS lean
ATL +1.5
Total lean
Over 44.5

Market: ATL -102 · TB -118 · total 44.5

Full game file →
AwayRavens
AT
HomeBills
Sunday · Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET

Buffalo Bills 24–29

Win pick
Bills 63%
ATS lean
BUF -2.5
Total lean
Pass

Market: BAL +130 · BUF -155 · total 52.5

Full game file →
AwayTitans
AT
HomeBengals
Sunday · Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET

Cincinnati Bengals 16–28

Win pick
Bengals 81%
ATS lean
CIN -10
Total lean
Under 46.5

Market: TEN +425 · CIN -575 · total 46.5

Full game file →
AwayBrowns
AT
HomeSteelers
Sunday · Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET

Pittsburgh Steelers 18–23

Win pick
Steelers 65%
ATS lean
Pass
Total lean
Over 38.5

Market: CLE +170 · PIT -205 · total 38.5

Full game file →
AwayVikings
AT
HomeLions
Sunday · Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET

Detroit Lions 23–24

Win pick
Lions 54%
ATS lean
MIN +2.5
Total lean
Pass

Market: MIN +130 · DET -155 · total 47.5

Full game file →
AwayColts
AT
HomeJaguars
Sunday · Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET

Jacksonville Jaguars 18–30

Win pick
Jaguars 82%
ATS lean
JAX -7.5
Total lean
Pass

Market: IND +295 · JAX -375 · total 47.5

Full game file →
AwayRaiders
AT
HomeJets
Sunday · Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET

New York Jets 21–25

Win pick
Jets 62%
ATS lean
NYJ -1.5
Total lean
Over 42.5

Market: LV -108 · NYJ -112 · total 42.5

Full game file →
AwayChargers
AT
HomeRams
Sunday · Nov 1 · 4:05 PM ET

Los Angeles Rams 18–26

Win pick
Rams 71%
ATS lean
Pass
Total lean
Under 46.5

Market: LAC +280 · LAR -355 · total 46.5

Full game file →
AwayChiefs
AT
HomeBroncos
Sunday · Nov 1 · 4:25 PM ET

Kansas City Chiefs 22–20

Win pick
Chiefs 54%
ATS lean
Pass
Total lean
Pass

Market: KC -122 · DEN +102 · total 42.5

Full game file →
AwayPatriots
AT
HomeDolphins
Sunday · Nov 1 · 4:25 PM ET

New England Patriots 28–15

Win pick
Patriots 83%
ATS lean
NE -7.5
Total lean
Under 44.5

Market: NE -425 · MIA +330 · total 44.5

Full game file →
AwayEagles
AT
HomeCommanders
Sunday · Nov 1 · 8:20 PM ET

Philadelphia Eagles 24–21

Win pick
Eagles 60%
ATS lean
PHI +3.5
Total lean
Over 41.5

Market: PHI +154 · WAS -185 · total 41.5

Full game file →
AwayBears
AT
HomeSeahawks
Monday · Nov 2 · 8:15 PM ET

Chicago Bears 24–23

Win pick
Bears 51%
ATS lean
CHI +3
Total lean
Pass

Market: CHI +140 · SEA -166 · total 46.5

Full game file →
Read the number

A model difference, not a promise.

FTT blends opponent-adjusted scoring margin, recent scoring, prior-season strength, site and rest. The market line is a separate input used only to calculate the displayed difference.

The same rules went 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals across 208 games in the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward. The ATS and totals records were effectively coin flips; the displayed differences are research signals, not a proven wagering edge.

See the complete methodology →
Questions, answered

What are the best NFL Week 8 predictions?

The page ranks the current model differences and shows the evidence for every game. A larger difference is a stronger model signal, not a guaranteed result.

Where do the odds and lines come from?

FTT reads the nflverse schedule release, stores the market snapshot time, and freezes each pregame record at kickoff. It does not scrape or name an individual sportsbook.

How does the FTT NFL model work?

The model blends opponent-adjusted scoring margin, recent points scored and allowed, prior-season strength, home field and rest. Market lines are shown for comparison, not used to create the team rating.

Do the picks update after kickoff?

No. Pregame projections and the attached line snapshot freeze at kickoff. Final scores then grade the archived call without rewriting it.