Green Bay Packers 21–25
- Win pick
- Packers 61%
- ATS lean
- Pass
- Total lean
- Under 47.5
Market: CAR +130 · GB -155 · total 47.5
Full game file →New England Patriots carries the strongest straight-up model probability on the slate. Every number below is tied to the displayed market snapshot and a pregame model run.
Green Bay Packers 21–25
Market: CAR +130 · GB -155 · total 47.5
Full game file →Dallas Cowboys 21–30
Market: ARI +245 · DAL -305 · total 51.5
Full game file →Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23–24
Market: ATL -102 · TB -118 · total 44.5
Full game file →Buffalo Bills 24–29
Market: BAL +130 · BUF -155 · total 52.5
Full game file →Cincinnati Bengals 16–28
Market: TEN +425 · CIN -575 · total 46.5
Full game file →Pittsburgh Steelers 18–23
Market: CLE +170 · PIT -205 · total 38.5
Full game file →Detroit Lions 23–24
Market: MIN +130 · DET -155 · total 47.5
Full game file →Jacksonville Jaguars 18–30
Market: IND +295 · JAX -375 · total 47.5
Full game file →New York Jets 21–25
Market: LV -108 · NYJ -112 · total 42.5
Full game file →Los Angeles Rams 18–26
Market: LAC +280 · LAR -355 · total 46.5
Full game file →Kansas City Chiefs 22–20
Market: KC -122 · DEN +102 · total 42.5
Full game file →New England Patriots 28–15
Market: NE -425 · MIA +330 · total 44.5
Full game file →Philadelphia Eagles 24–21
Market: PHI +154 · WAS -185 · total 41.5
Full game file →Chicago Bears 24–23
Market: CHI +140 · SEA -166 · total 46.5
Full game file →FTT blends opponent-adjusted scoring margin, recent scoring, prior-season strength, site and rest. The market line is a separate input used only to calculate the displayed difference.
The same rules went 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals across 208 games in the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward. The ATS and totals records were effectively coin flips; the displayed differences are research signals, not a proven wagering edge.
See the complete methodology →The page ranks the current model differences and shows the evidence for every game. A larger difference is a stronger model signal, not a guaranteed result.
FTT reads the nflverse schedule release, stores the market snapshot time, and freezes each pregame record at kickoff. It does not scrape or name an individual sportsbook.
The model blends opponent-adjusted scoring margin, recent points scored and allowed, prior-season strength, home field and rest. Market lines are shown for comparison, not used to create the team rating.
No. Pregame projections and the attached line snapshot freeze at kickoff. Final scores then grade the archived call without rewriting it.