Away
24Chicago Bears
- Record
- 4-2
- FTT rating
- +4.8
- Listed QB
- TBD
NFL Week 8 · Monday, Nov 2 · 8:15 PM ET
Bears vs. Seahawks prediction.
Chicago Bears is the FTT straight-up pick at 51% model probability. The projected score is CHI 24, SEA 23.
Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
23Seattle Seahawks
- Record
- 3-3
- FTT rating
- +3.4
- Listed QB
- TBD
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | SEA 60% market | SEA 49% model | Chicago Bears +140 | 10.7 points |
| Spread | SEA -3 | SEA +0.3 | Chicago Bears +3 | 3.3 points |
| Total | O/U 46.5 | 45.8 | Pass | 0.7 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Chicago Bears entered Week 8 at 4-2 with a +5.2 point differential per game. Seattle Seahawks entered at 3-3 and +4.3 per game.
Seattle Seahawks receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is away by 3 days.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Bears vs. Seahawks?
The FTT model picks Chicago Bears. Its projected score is CHI 24, SEA 23.
What is the Bears vs. Seahawks spread pick?
The model leans Chicago Bears +3, with a 3.3-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Bears vs. Seahawks over/under pick?
The model difference is under one point, so FTT passes on the 46.5 total.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.