Away
24Philadelphia Eagles
- Record
- 2-4
- FTT rating
- -2.1
- Listed QB
- TBD
NFL Week 8 · Sunday, Nov 1 · 8:20 PM ET
Eagles vs. Commanders prediction.
Philadelphia Eagles is the FTT straight-up pick at 60% model probability. The projected score is PHI 24, WAS 21.
Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
21Washington Commanders
- Record
- 1-4-1
- FTT rating
- -7.7
- Listed QB
- TBD
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | WAS 62% market | WAS 40% model | Philadelphia Eagles +154 | 22.5 points |
| Spread | WAS -3.5 | WAS +3.5 | Philadelphia Eagles +3.5 | 7.0 points |
| Total | O/U 41.5 | 45.3 | Over 41.5 | 3.8 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Philadelphia Eagles entered Week 8 at 2-4 with a -5.2 point differential per game. Washington Commanders entered at 1-4-1 and -6.7 per game.
Washington Commanders receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is home by 7 days.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Eagles vs. Commanders?
The FTT model picks Philadelphia Eagles. Its projected score is PHI 24, WAS 21.
What is the Eagles vs. Commanders spread pick?
The model leans Philadelphia Eagles +3.5, with a 7.0-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Eagles vs. Commanders over/under pick?
The model leans over 41.5, with a 3.8-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.