Away
21Arizona Cardinals
- Record
- 2-4
- FTT rating
- -9.8
- Listed QB
- TBD
NFL Week 8 · Sunday, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET
Cardinals vs. Cowboys prediction.
Dallas Cowboys is the FTT straight-up pick at 75% model probability. The projected score is ARI 21, DAL 30.
Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
30Dallas Cowboys
- Record
- 2-4
- FTT rating
- -2.2
- Listed QB
- TBD
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | DAL 72% market | DAL 75% model | Dallas Cowboys -305 | 2.6 points |
| Spread | DAL -6.5 | DAL -9 | Dallas Cowboys -6.5 | 2.5 points |
| Total | O/U 51.5 | 51.9 | Pass | 0.4 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Arizona Cardinals entered Week 8 at 2-4 with a -8.7 point differential per game. Dallas Cowboys entered at 2-4 and -1.3 per game.
Dallas Cowboys receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is away by 1 day.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Cardinals vs. Cowboys?
The FTT model picks Dallas Cowboys. Its projected score is ARI 21, DAL 30.
What is the Cardinals vs. Cowboys spread pick?
The model leans Dallas Cowboys -6.5, with a 2.5-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Cardinals vs. Cowboys over/under pick?
The model difference is under one point, so FTT passes on the 51.5 total.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.