Away
24Baltimore Ravens
- Record
- 4-2
- FTT rating
- +1.7
- Listed QB
- TBD
NFL Week 8 · Sunday, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET
Ravens vs. Bills prediction.
Buffalo Bills is the FTT straight-up pick at 63% model probability. The projected score is BAL 24, BUF 29.
Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
29Buffalo Bills
- Record
- 5-1
- FTT rating
- +4.2
- Listed QB
- TBD
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | BUF 58% market | BUF 63% model | Buffalo Bills -155 | 5.1 points |
| Spread | BUF -2.5 | BUF -4.6 | Buffalo Bills -2.5 | 2.1 points |
| Total | O/U 52.5 | 53.1 | Pass | 0.6 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Baltimore Ravens entered Week 8 at 4-2 with a +4.0 point differential per game. Buffalo Bills entered at 5-1 and +4.3 per game.
Buffalo Bills receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is home by 7 days.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Ravens vs. Bills?
The FTT model picks Buffalo Bills. Its projected score is BAL 24, BUF 29.
What is the Ravens vs. Bills spread pick?
The model leans Buffalo Bills -2.5, with a 2.1-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Ravens vs. Bills over/under pick?
The model difference is under one point, so FTT passes on the 52.5 total.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.