Away
21Las Vegas Raiders
- Record
- 3-3
- FTT rating
- -5.5
- Listed QB
- TBD
NFL Week 8 · Sunday, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET
Raiders vs. Jets prediction.
New York Jets is the FTT straight-up pick at 62% model probability. The projected score is LV 21, NYJ 25.
Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
25New York Jets
- Record
- 2-4
- FTT rating
- -2.9
- Listed QB
- TBD
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | NYJ 50% market | NYJ 62% model | New York Jets -112 | 11.7 points |
| Spread | NYJ -1.5 | NYJ -4.1 | New York Jets -1.5 | 2.6 points |
| Total | O/U 42.5 | 45.6 | Over 42.5 | 3.1 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Las Vegas Raiders entered Week 8 at 3-3 with a +0.0 point differential per game. New York Jets entered at 2-4 and -1.7 per game.
New York Jets receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is even.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Raiders vs. Jets?
The FTT model picks New York Jets. Its projected score is LV 21, NYJ 25.
What is the Raiders vs. Jets spread pick?
The model leans New York Jets -1.5, with a 2.6-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Raiders vs. Jets over/under pick?
The model leans over 42.5, with a 3.1-point difference.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.