Away
23Minnesota Vikings
- Record
- 5-0
- FTT rating
- +4.7
- Listed QB
- TBD
NFL Week 8 · Sunday, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET
Vikings vs. Lions prediction.
Detroit Lions is the FTT straight-up pick at 54% model probability. The projected score is MIN 23, DET 24.
Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Pregame numbers freeze at kickoff and do not move after the result.
Home
24Detroit Lions
- Record
- 3-2
- FTT rating
- +4.4
- Listed QB
- TBD
Model vs. market
The pick, spread and total in one view.
| Market | Listed number | FTT number | FTT lean | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | DET 58% market | DET 54% model | Detroit Lions -155 | 4.7 points |
| Spread | DET -2.5 | DET -1.2 | Minnesota Vikings +2.5 | 1.3 points |
| Total | O/U 47.5 | 47.6 | Pass | 0.1 points |
Why the model landed here
Strength, scoring, site and rest.
Minnesota Vikings entered Week 8 at 5-0 with a +9.0 point differential per game. Detroit Lions entered at 3-2 and +3.2 per game.
Detroit Lions receives the model's 1.5-point home-field adjustment. The rest difference is even.
The scoring projection regresses both teams' current points scored and allowed toward their prior-season baselines. The opponent-adjusted rating caps individual game margins at 28 points so one blowout cannot dominate the board.
On the 2025 Weeks 5-18 walk-forward, these rules finished 125–83 straight up, 81–82 ATS and 81–80 on totals. The ATS and totals results were effectively coin flips.
Who will win Vikings vs. Lions?
The FTT model picks Detroit Lions. Its projected score is MIN 23, DET 24.
What is the Vikings vs. Lions spread pick?
The model leans Minnesota Vikings +2.5, with a 1.3-point difference from the listed spread.
What is the Vikings vs. Lions over/under pick?
The model difference is under one point, so FTT passes on the 47.5 total.
When were these odds captured?
The market snapshot was captured Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT. Odds can move, and FTT does not present the snapshot as a live sportsbook quote.