What are the NFL Week 8 confidence pool picks?
FTT ranks the complete weekly slate from a pregame team-strength model and links every answer to its matchup evidence.
2026 NFL · Week 8 · Confidence points
NFL Week 8 Confidence Pool Picks.
Cincinnati Bengals gets the highest confidence assignment at 89%. Point values descend across the full slate.
Updated Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST. Projections refresh before kickoff, then the archived call stays fixed.
| Points | Pick | Opponent | FTT win chance | Market | Projected score | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |  Cincinnati Bengals | vs. Titans | 89% | -850 | TEN 14, CIN 30 | Game file → |
| 13 |  Dallas Cowboys | vs. Cardinals | 81% | -310 | ARI 20, DAL 32 | Game file → |
| 12 |  Jacksonville Jaguars | vs. Colts | 80% | -485 | IND 18, JAX 29 | Game file → |
| 11 |  Green Bay Packers | vs. Panthers | 76% | -192 | CAR 18, GB 28 | Game file → |
| 10 |  New England Patriots | vs. Dolphins | 75% | -340 | NE 27, MIA 17 | Game file → |
| 9 |  Los Angeles Rams | vs. Chargers | 75% | -270 | LAC 18, LAR 27 | Game file → |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh Steelers | vs. Browns | 73% | -192 | CLE 17, PIT 25 | Game file → |
| 7 |  Buffalo Bills | vs. Ravens | 67% | -166 | BAL 24, BUF 30 | Game file → |
| 6 |  New York Jets | vs. Raiders | 66% | -122 | LV 21, NYJ 26 | Game file → |
| 5 |  Tampa Bay Buccaneers | vs. Falcons | 64% | -130 | ATL 21, TB 26 | Game file → |
| 4 |  Denver Broncos | vs. Chiefs | 58% | -108 | KC 19, DEN 22 | Game file → |
| 3 |  Seattle Seahawks | vs. Bears | 56% | -170 | CHI 22, SEA 24 | Game file → |
| 2 |  Washington Commanders | vs. Eagles | 55% | -278 | PHI 22, WAS 24 | Game file → |
| 1 |  Detroit Lions | vs. Vikings | 50% | -170 | MIN 23, DET 24 | Game file → |
How to use it
Convert probabilities into pool points.
The strongest pick receives the maximum points and every following game receives one fewer point. If your pool uses a different scale, preserve the order and remap the points.
Close probabilities are effectively ties. Use your pool's tiebreak rule instead of forcing certainty the model does not have.
The model uses only information available before the target week: opponent-adjusted team strength, scoring form, prior-season strength, home field and rest. Market odds are shown for context and do not create the team rating.
Read the methodology →When do these NFL picks update?
The board refreshes with the scheduled data release before kickoff. Each game prediction freezes when that game starts.
Does the model use the betting line to make its pick?
No. Team strength, scoring, site and rest create the prediction. The timestamped market line is shown separately for comparison.
Are these guaranteed picks?
No. Probabilities and score projections describe uncertainty; they do not guarantee an outcome or profit.