Jonathan Taylor
IND vs. DALFloor9.2
Median15.2
Ceiling20.3
Recent PPG: 13.1
Recent volume: 17.0
Snap share: 65%
Availability: Full Participation in Practice
Week 9 lineup decision · updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:07 PM EST
Jonathan Taylor or Derrick Henry: who should I start?
Start Jonathan Taylor over Derrick Henry in Week 9. The Half PPR projection is 15.2 to 12.8.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
IND vs. DALOpen player file →
Derrick Henry
BAL vs. JAXFloor11.3
Median12.8
Ceiling19.9
Recent PPG: 10.9
Recent volume: 16.0
Snap share: 48%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 9 projection by format.
Standard
Start Jonathan Taylor
1.7-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Jonathan Taylor
IND vs. DAL- Floor
- 7.8
- Projection
- 13.9
- Ceiling
- 19.4
Other option
Derrick Henry
BAL vs. JAX- Floor
- 10.7
- Projection
- 12.2
- Ceiling
- 19.2
Half PPR
Start Jonathan Taylor
2.4-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Jonathan Taylor
IND vs. DAL- Floor
- 9.2
- Projection
- 15.2
- Ceiling
- 20.3
Other option
Derrick Henry
BAL vs. JAX- Floor
- 11.3
- Projection
- 12.8
- Ceiling
- 19.9
PPR
Start Jonathan Taylor
3.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Jonathan Taylor
IND vs. DAL- Floor
- 10.6
- Projection
- 16.5
- Ceiling
- 21.2
Other option
Derrick Henry
BAL vs. JAX- Floor
- 11.4
- Projection
- 13.4
- Ceiling
- 20.7
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Their early-season Half PPR production is nearly even despite different receiving and rushing profiles.
Jonathan Taylor: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup helps. Derrick Henry: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is tougher.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 9 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 8 final result
Derrick Henry scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Jonathan Taylor: 4.7 Half PPR · Derrick Henry: 13.0 Half PPR.
More Week 9 decisions
Keep working through the close calls.
RB · Close callDerrick Henry over Ashton Jeanty12.8–12.0 Half PPR →RB · 1.3-point leanDerrick Henry over Bhayshul Tuten12.8–11.5 Half PPR →RB · 1.8-point leanBijan Robinson over Derrick Henry14.6–12.8 Half PPR →RB · Close callJonathan Taylor over Bijan Robinson15.2–14.6 Half PPR →RB · 7.8-point leanChristian McCaffrey over Derrick Henry20.6–12.8 Half PPR →RB · 5.4-point leanChristian McCaffrey over Jonathan Taylor20.6–15.2 Half PPR →