Jonathan Taylor
IND vs. HOUFloor11.6
Median21.9
Ceiling28.1
Recent PPG: 25.4
Recent volume: 25.5
Snap share: 92%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 3 lineup decision · updated Sep 22, 2026, 8:07 PM EDT
Jonathan Taylor or Derrick Henry: who should I start?
Start Jonathan Taylor over Derrick Henry in Week 3. The Half PPR projection is 21.9 to 20.1.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
IND vs. HOUOpen player file →
Derrick Henry
BAL vs. DALFloor10.9
Median20.1
Ceiling20.6
Recent PPG: 25.5
Recent volume: 22.0
Snap share: 54%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 3 projection by format.
Standard
Start Jonathan Taylor
1.0-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Jonathan Taylor
IND vs. HOU- Floor
- 10.0
- Projection
- 20.4
- Ceiling
- 26.2
Other option
Derrick Henry
BAL vs. DAL- Floor
- 10.5
- Projection
- 19.4
- Ceiling
- 20.2
Half PPR
Start Jonathan Taylor
1.8-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Jonathan Taylor
IND vs. HOU- Floor
- 11.6
- Projection
- 21.9
- Ceiling
- 28.1
Other option
Derrick Henry
BAL vs. DAL- Floor
- 10.9
- Projection
- 20.1
- Ceiling
- 20.6
PPR
Start Jonathan Taylor
2.7-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Jonathan Taylor
IND vs. HOU- Floor
- 12.8
- Projection
- 23.5
- Ceiling
- 30.1
Other option
Derrick Henry
BAL vs. DAL- Floor
- 11.8
- Projection
- 20.8
- Ceiling
- 21.7
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Their early-season Half PPR production is nearly even despite different receiving and rushing profiles.
Jonathan Taylor: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Derrick Henry: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 3 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.