Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NYJFloor8.5
Median13.6
Ceiling16.4
Recent PPG: 14.1
Recent volume: 16.0
Snap share: 65%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 8 lineup decision · updated Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST
Ashton Jeanty or Derrick Henry: who should I start?
Derrick Henry has the narrow Week 8 lean over Ashton Jeanty. The Half PPR projection is 13.8 to 13.6.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
LV vs. NYJOpen player file →
Derrick Henry
BAL vs. BUFFloor10.4
Median13.8
Ceiling21.3
Recent PPG: 11.3
Recent volume: 18.5
Snap share: 55%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 8 projection by format.
Standard
Start Derrick Henry
2.0-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NYJ- Floor
- 6.4
- Projection
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 13.1
Recommended start
Derrick Henry
BAL vs. BUF- Floor
- 10.1
- Projection
- 13.3
- Ceiling
- 20.7
Half PPR
Start Derrick Henry — close call
0.2-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NYJ- Floor
- 8.5
- Projection
- 13.6
- Ceiling
- 16.4
Recommended start
Derrick Henry
BAL vs. BUF- Floor
- 10.4
- Projection
- 13.8
- Ceiling
- 21.3
PPR
Start Ashton Jeanty
1.6-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NYJ- Floor
- 10.2
- Projection
- 15.9
- Ceiling
- 19.6
Other option
Derrick Henry
BAL vs. BUF- Floor
- 11.2
- Projection
- 14.3
- Ceiling
- 21.8
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two relevant running-back options in a similar weekly range, compared through touches, receiving work, matchup and current availability.
Ashton Jeanty: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup helps. Derrick Henry: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 8 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 8 final result
Derrick Henry scored more. The pregame lean was right.
Ashton Jeanty: 8.8 Half PPR · Derrick Henry: 13.0 Half PPR.
More Week 8 decisions
Keep working through the close calls.
RB · 2.3-point leanAshton Jeanty over Bhayshul Tuten13.6–11.3 Half PPR →RB · 2.0-point leanAshton Jeanty over Chase Brown13.6–11.6 Half PPR →RB · 6.8-point leanChristian McCaffrey over Ashton Jeanty20.4–13.6 Half PPR →RB · 1.0-point leanAshton Jeanty over Chuba Hubbard13.6–12.6 Half PPR →RB · 1.0-point leanD'Andre Swift over Ashton Jeanty14.6–13.6 Half PPR →RB · 3.7-point leanJavonte Williams over Ashton Jeanty17.3–13.6 Half PPR →