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Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT

Ashton Jeanty or Javonte Williams: who should I start?

Start Javonte Williams over Ashton Jeanty in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 17.5 to 14.1.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Ashton Jeanty carrying the football in 2025

Ashton Jeanty

LV vs. NE
Floor7.5
Median14.1
Ceiling15.3

Recent PPG: 16.1

Recent volume: 22.5

Snap share: 76%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Start lean
Photograph of Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams

DAL vs. TB
Floor9.4
Median17.5
Ceiling18.4

Recent PPG: 18.6

Recent volume: 23.0

Snap share: 75%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 5 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Javonte Williams

3.7-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Ashton Jeanty

LV vs. NE
Floor
5.3
Projection
12.1
Ceiling
13.9
Recommended start

Javonte Williams

DAL vs. TB
Floor
8.9
Projection
15.8
Ceiling
17.8
Half PPR

Start Javonte Williams

3.4-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Ashton Jeanty

LV vs. NE
Floor
7.5
Projection
14.1
Ceiling
15.3
Recommended start

Javonte Williams

DAL vs. TB
Floor
9.4
Projection
17.5
Ceiling
18.4
PPR

Start Javonte Williams

3.0-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Ashton Jeanty

LV vs. NE
Floor
9.0
Projection
16.2
Ceiling
18.2
Recommended start

Javonte Williams

DAL vs. TB
Floor
10.3
Projection
19.2
Ceiling
19.3

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two relevant running-back options in a similar weekly range, compared through touches, receiving work, matchup and current availability.

Ashton Jeanty: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher. Javonte Williams: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 4 final result

Javonte Williams scored more. The pregame lean was right.

Ashton Jeanty: 15.6 Half PPR · Javonte Williams: 28.8 Half PPR.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →