Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NEFloor7.5
Median14.1
Ceiling15.3
Recent PPG: 16.1
Recent volume: 22.5
Snap share: 76%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT
Ashton Jeanty or Chase Brown: who should I start?
Ashton Jeanty has the narrow Week 5 lean over Chase Brown. The Half PPR projection is 14.1 to 13.3.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
LV vs. NEOpen player file →
Chase Brown
CIN vs. MIAFloor12.4
Median13.3
Ceiling17.4
Recent PPG: 11.9
Recent volume: 17.5
Snap share: 75%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Ashton Jeanty
1.2-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 5.3
- Projection
- 12.1
- Ceiling
- 13.9
Other option
Chase Brown
CIN vs. MIA- Floor
- 9.0
- Projection
- 10.9
- Ceiling
- 15.5
Half PPR
Start Ashton Jeanty — close call
0.8-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 7.5
- Projection
- 14.1
- Ceiling
- 15.3
Other option
Chase Brown
CIN vs. MIA- Floor
- 12.4
- Projection
- 13.3
- Ceiling
- 17.4
PPR
Start Ashton Jeanty — close call
0.4-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 9.0
- Projection
- 16.2
- Ceiling
- 18.2
Other option
Chase Brown
CIN vs. MIA- Floor
- 14.6
- Projection
- 15.8
- Ceiling
- 19.6
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two relevant running-back options in a similar weekly range, compared through touches, receiving work, matchup and current availability.
Ashton Jeanty: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher. Chase Brown: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Ashton Jeanty scored more. The pregame lean was right.
Ashton Jeanty: 15.6 Half PPR · Chase Brown: 13.6 Half PPR.