Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NEFloor7.5
Median14.1
Ceiling15.3
Recent PPG: 16.1
Recent volume: 22.5
Snap share: 76%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT
Ashton Jeanty or Christian McCaffrey: who should I start?
Start Christian McCaffrey over Ashton Jeanty in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 17.9 to 14.1.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
LV vs. NEOpen player file →
Christian McCaffrey
SF vs. SEAFloor13.8
Median17.9
Ceiling26.0
Recent PPG: 16.5
Recent volume: 20.0
Snap share: 79%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Christian McCaffrey
3.4-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 5.3
- Projection
- 12.1
- Ceiling
- 13.9
Recommended start
Christian McCaffrey
SF vs. SEA- Floor
- 11.6
- Projection
- 15.5
- Ceiling
- 23.6
Half PPR
Start Christian McCaffrey
3.8-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 7.5
- Projection
- 14.1
- Ceiling
- 15.3
Recommended start
Christian McCaffrey
SF vs. SEA- Floor
- 13.8
- Projection
- 17.9
- Ceiling
- 26.0
PPR
Start Christian McCaffrey
4.2-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 9.0
- Projection
- 16.2
- Ceiling
- 18.2
Recommended start
Christian McCaffrey
SF vs. SEA- Floor
- 15.5
- Projection
- 20.4
- Ceiling
- 28.5
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two relevant running-back options in a similar weekly range, compared through touches, receiving work, matchup and current availability.
Ashton Jeanty: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher. Christian McCaffrey: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Ashton Jeanty scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Ashton Jeanty: 15.6 Half PPR · Christian McCaffrey: 14.5 Half PPR.