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Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT

Ashton Jeanty or D'Andre Swift: who should I start?

D'Andre Swift has the narrow Week 5 lean over Ashton Jeanty. The Half PPR projection is 14.2 to 14.1.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Ashton Jeanty carrying the football in 2025

Ashton Jeanty

LV vs. NE
Floor7.5
Median14.1
Ceiling15.3

Recent PPG: 16.1

Recent volume: 22.5

Snap share: 76%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Start lean
Photograph of D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift

CHI vs. GB
Floor8.8
Median14.2
Ceiling20.6

Recent PPG: 14.6

Recent volume: 20.0

Snap share: 52%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Scoring changes the call

Week 5 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start D'Andre Swift — close call

0.8-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Ashton Jeanty

LV vs. NE
Floor
5.3
Projection
12.1
Ceiling
13.9
Recommended start

D'Andre Swift

CHI vs. GB
Floor
7.7
Projection
12.9
Ceiling
19.9
Half PPR

Start D'Andre Swift — close call

0.1-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Ashton Jeanty

LV vs. NE
Floor
7.5
Projection
14.1
Ceiling
15.3
Recommended start

D'Andre Swift

CHI vs. GB
Floor
8.8
Projection
14.2
Ceiling
20.6
PPR

Start Ashton Jeanty — close call

0.8-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Ashton Jeanty

LV vs. NE
Floor
9.0
Projection
16.2
Ceiling
18.2
Other option

D'Andre Swift

CHI vs. GB
Floor
9.1
Projection
15.4
Ceiling
21.3

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two relevant running-back options in a similar weekly range, compared through touches, receiving work, matchup and current availability.

Ashton Jeanty: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher. D'Andre Swift: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 4 final result

Ashton Jeanty scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.

Ashton Jeanty: 15.6 Half PPR · D'Andre Swift: 6.4 Half PPR.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →