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Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT

Bijan Robinson or Jonathan Taylor: who should I start?

Start Bijan Robinson over Jonathan Taylor in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 22.4 to 19.9.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Bijan Robinson on the field in 2025

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs. BAL
Floor9.7
Median22.4
Ceiling27.3

Recent PPG: 24.6

Recent volume: 26.0

Snap share: 66%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Photograph of Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor

IND vs. PIT
Floor10.4
Median19.9
Ceiling23.9

Recent PPG: 20.3

Recent volume: 25.0

Snap share: 78%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Scoring changes the call

Week 5 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Bijan Robinson

1.7-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs. BAL
Floor
8.5
Projection
20.3
Ceiling
25.3
Other option

Jonathan Taylor

IND vs. PIT
Floor
9.1
Projection
18.6
Ceiling
22.3
Half PPR

Start Bijan Robinson

2.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs. BAL
Floor
9.7
Projection
22.4
Ceiling
27.3
Other option

Jonathan Taylor

IND vs. PIT
Floor
10.4
Projection
19.9
Ceiling
23.9
PPR

Start Bijan Robinson

3.2-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs. BAL
Floor
11.0
Projection
24.5
Ceiling
30.3
Other option

Jonathan Taylor

IND vs. PIT
Floor
10.7
Projection
21.3
Ceiling
25.7

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two relevant running-back options in a similar weekly range, compared through touches, receiving work, matchup and current availability.

Bijan Robinson: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Jonathan Taylor: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 4 final result

Bijan Robinson scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.

Bijan Robinson: 27.2 Half PPR · Jonathan Taylor: 22.2 Half PPR.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →