Bijan Robinson
ATL vs. BALFloor9.7
Median22.4
Ceiling27.3
Recent PPG: 24.6
Recent volume: 26.0
Snap share: 66%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT
Bijan Robinson or Christian McCaffrey: who should I start?
Start Bijan Robinson over Christian McCaffrey in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 22.4 to 17.9.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
ATL vs. BALOpen player file →
Christian McCaffrey
SF vs. SEAFloor13.8
Median17.9
Ceiling26.0
Recent PPG: 16.5
Recent volume: 20.0
Snap share: 79%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Bijan Robinson
4.8-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Bijan Robinson
ATL vs. BAL- Floor
- 8.5
- Projection
- 20.3
- Ceiling
- 25.3
Other option
Christian McCaffrey
SF vs. SEA- Floor
- 11.6
- Projection
- 15.5
- Ceiling
- 23.6
Half PPR
Start Bijan Robinson
4.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Bijan Robinson
ATL vs. BAL- Floor
- 9.7
- Projection
- 22.4
- Ceiling
- 27.3
Other option
Christian McCaffrey
SF vs. SEA- Floor
- 13.8
- Projection
- 17.9
- Ceiling
- 26.0
PPR
Start Bijan Robinson
4.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Bijan Robinson
ATL vs. BAL- Floor
- 11.0
- Projection
- 24.5
- Ceiling
- 30.3
Other option
Christian McCaffrey
SF vs. SEA- Floor
- 15.5
- Projection
- 20.4
- Ceiling
- 28.5
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two relevant running-back options in a similar weekly range, compared through touches, receiving work, matchup and current availability.
Bijan Robinson: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Christian McCaffrey: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Bijan Robinson scored more. The pregame lean was right.
Bijan Robinson: 27.2 Half PPR · Christian McCaffrey: 14.5 Half PPR.