Free. No login. No nonsense.
FANTASY TRADETARGET
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT

Bijan Robinson or Derrick Henry: who should I start?

Start Bijan Robinson over Derrick Henry in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 22.4 to 19.8.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Bijan Robinson on the field in 2025

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs. BAL
Floor9.7
Median22.4
Ceiling27.3

Recent PPG: 24.6

Recent volume: 26.0

Snap share: 66%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Photograph of Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry

BAL vs. ATL
Floor13.0
Median19.8
Ceiling22.2

Recent PPG: 21.8

Recent volume: 26.0

Snap share: 65%

Availability: No current-week designation

Open player file →
Scoring changes the call

Week 5 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Bijan Robinson

1.2-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs. BAL
Floor
8.5
Projection
20.3
Ceiling
25.3
Other option

Derrick Henry

BAL vs. ATL
Floor
12.9
Projection
19.1
Ceiling
21.6
Half PPR

Start Bijan Robinson

2.6-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs. BAL
Floor
9.7
Projection
22.4
Ceiling
27.3
Other option

Derrick Henry

BAL vs. ATL
Floor
13.0
Projection
19.8
Ceiling
22.2
PPR

Start Bijan Robinson

3.9-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs. BAL
Floor
11.0
Projection
24.5
Ceiling
30.3
Other option

Derrick Henry

BAL vs. ATL
Floor
13.4
Projection
20.6
Ceiling
22.9

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two relevant running-back options in a similar weekly range, compared through touches, receiving work, matchup and current availability.

Bijan Robinson: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Derrick Henry: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 4 final result

Bijan Robinson scored more. The pregame lean was right.

Bijan Robinson: 27.2 Half PPR · Derrick Henry: 14.9 Half PPR.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →