Jonathan Taylor
IND vs. PITFloor10.4
Median19.9
Ceiling23.9
Recent PPG: 20.3
Recent volume: 25.0
Snap share: 78%
Availability: Full Participation in Practice
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 10, 2026, 1:57 PM EDT
Jonathan Taylor or Kyren Williams: who should I start?
Start Jonathan Taylor over Kyren Williams in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 19.9 to 18.8.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
IND vs. PITOpen player file →
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. BUFFloor13.2
Median18.8
Ceiling18.9
Recent PPG: 19.8
Recent volume: 25.5
Snap share: 77%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Jonathan Taylor
1.9-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Jonathan Taylor
IND vs. PIT- Floor
- 9.1
- Projection
- 18.6
- Ceiling
- 22.3
Other option
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 12.3
- Projection
- 16.7
- Ceiling
- 17.3
Half PPR
Start Jonathan Taylor
1.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Jonathan Taylor
IND vs. PIT- Floor
- 10.4
- Projection
- 19.9
- Ceiling
- 23.9
Other option
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 13.2
- Projection
- 18.8
- Ceiling
- 18.9
PPR
Start Jonathan Taylor — close call
0.4-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Jonathan Taylor
IND vs. PIT- Floor
- 10.7
- Projection
- 21.3
- Ceiling
- 25.7
Other option
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 13.6
- Projection
- 20.9
- Ceiling
- 20.9
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two relevant running-back options in a similar weekly range, compared through touches, receiving work, matchup and current availability.
Jonathan Taylor: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher. Kyren Williams: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Kyren Williams scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Jonathan Taylor: 22.2 Half PPR · Kyren Williams: 31.7 Half PPR.