Bijan Robinson
ATL vs. BALFloor9.7
Median22.4
Ceiling27.3
Recent PPG: 24.6
Recent volume: 26.0
Snap share: 66%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 10, 2026, 1:57 PM EDT
Bijan Robinson or Kyren Williams: who should I start?
Start Bijan Robinson over Kyren Williams in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 22.4 to 18.8.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
ATL vs. BALOpen player file →
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. BUFFloor13.2
Median18.8
Ceiling18.9
Recent PPG: 19.8
Recent volume: 25.5
Snap share: 77%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Bijan Robinson
3.6-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Bijan Robinson
ATL vs. BAL- Floor
- 8.5
- Projection
- 20.3
- Ceiling
- 25.3
Other option
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 12.3
- Projection
- 16.7
- Ceiling
- 17.3
Half PPR
Start Bijan Robinson
3.6-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Bijan Robinson
ATL vs. BAL- Floor
- 9.7
- Projection
- 22.4
- Ceiling
- 27.3
Other option
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 13.2
- Projection
- 18.8
- Ceiling
- 18.9
PPR
Start Bijan Robinson
3.6-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Bijan Robinson
ATL vs. BAL- Floor
- 11.0
- Projection
- 24.5
- Ceiling
- 30.3
Other option
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 13.6
- Projection
- 20.9
- Ceiling
- 20.9
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two relevant running-back options in a similar weekly range, compared through touches, receiving work, matchup and current availability.
Bijan Robinson: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Kyren Williams: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Kyren Williams scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.
Bijan Robinson: 27.2 Half PPR · Kyren Williams: 31.7 Half PPR.