Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NEFloor7.5
Median14.1
Ceiling15.3
Recent PPG: 16.1
Recent volume: 22.5
Snap share: 76%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT
Ashton Jeanty or Kyren Williams: who should I start?
Start Kyren Williams over Ashton Jeanty in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 18.8 to 14.1.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
LV vs. NEOpen player file →
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. BUFFloor13.2
Median18.8
Ceiling18.9
Recent PPG: 19.8
Recent volume: 25.5
Snap share: 77%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Kyren Williams
4.6-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 5.3
- Projection
- 12.1
- Ceiling
- 13.9
Recommended start
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 12.3
- Projection
- 16.7
- Ceiling
- 17.3
Half PPR
Start Kyren Williams
4.7-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 7.5
- Projection
- 14.1
- Ceiling
- 15.3
Recommended start
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 13.2
- Projection
- 18.8
- Ceiling
- 18.9
PPR
Start Kyren Williams
4.7-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Ashton Jeanty
LV vs. NE- Floor
- 9.0
- Projection
- 16.2
- Ceiling
- 18.2
Recommended start
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. BUF- Floor
- 13.6
- Projection
- 20.9
- Ceiling
- 20.9
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two relevant running-back options in a similar weekly range, compared through touches, receiving work, matchup and current availability.
Ashton Jeanty: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is tougher. Kyren Williams: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Kyren Williams scored more. The pregame lean was right.
Ashton Jeanty: 15.6 Half PPR · Kyren Williams: 31.7 Half PPR.