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Week 3 lineup decision · updated Sep 22, 2026, 8:07 PM EDT

Breece Hall or Kyren Williams: who should I start?

Kyren Williams has the narrow Week 3 lean over Breece Hall. The Half PPR projection is 13.5 to 12.8.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Photograph of Breece Hall

Breece Hall

NYJ vs. DET
Floor6.9
Median12.8
Ceiling16.3

Recent PPG: 15.3

Recent volume: 22.5

Snap share: 62%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Start lean
Photograph of Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams

LAR vs. DEN
Floor9.3
Median13.5
Ceiling15.8

Recent PPG: 14.4

Recent volume: 14.0

Snap share: 60%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 3 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Kyren Williams

1.0-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Breece Hall

NYJ vs. DET
Floor
5.7
Projection
11.5
Ceiling
14.6
Recommended start

Kyren Williams

LAR vs. DEN
Floor
7.9
Projection
12.5
Ceiling
15.1
Half PPR

Start Kyren Williams — close call

0.7-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Breece Hall

NYJ vs. DET
Floor
6.9
Projection
12.8
Ceiling
16.3
Recommended start

Kyren Williams

LAR vs. DEN
Floor
9.3
Projection
13.5
Ceiling
15.8
PPR

Start Kyren Williams — close call

0.4-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Breece Hall

NYJ vs. DET
Floor
8.0
Projection
14.1
Ceiling
18.0
Recommended start

Kyren Williams

LAR vs. DEN
Floor
10.7
Projection
14.5
Ceiling
16.4

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

A close RB1/RB2 decision shaped by recent opportunity, snap share, and scoring-format sensitivity.

Breece Hall: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. Kyren Williams: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup is tougher.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 3 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →