Derrick Henry
BAL vs. ATLFloor13.0
Median19.8
Ceiling22.2
Recent PPG: 21.8
Recent volume: 26.0
Snap share: 65%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT
Derrick Henry or Jahmyr Gibbs: who should I start?
Start Jahmyr Gibbs over Derrick Henry in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 24.8 to 19.8.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
BAL vs. ATLOpen player file →
Jahmyr Gibbs
DET vs. ARIFloor10.0
Median24.8
Ceiling35.6
Recent PPG: 26.3
Recent volume: 25.0
Snap share: 78%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 5 projection by format.
Standard
Start Jahmyr Gibbs
3.2-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Derrick Henry
BAL vs. ATL- Floor
- 12.9
- Projection
- 19.1
- Ceiling
- 21.6
Recommended start
Jahmyr Gibbs
DET vs. ARI- Floor
- 8.5
- Projection
- 22.3
- Ceiling
- 32.5
Half PPR
Start Jahmyr Gibbs
5.0-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Derrick Henry
BAL vs. ATL- Floor
- 13.0
- Projection
- 19.8
- Ceiling
- 22.2
Recommended start
Jahmyr Gibbs
DET vs. ARI- Floor
- 10.0
- Projection
- 24.8
- Ceiling
- 35.6
PPR
Start Jahmyr Gibbs
6.8-point gapHigh confidence
Other option
Derrick Henry
BAL vs. ATL- Floor
- 13.4
- Projection
- 20.6
- Ceiling
- 22.9
Recommended start
Jahmyr Gibbs
DET vs. ARI- Floor
- 11.7
- Projection
- 27.4
- Ceiling
- 38.5
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two relevant running-back options in a similar weekly range, compared through touches, receiving work, matchup and current availability.
Derrick Henry: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Jahmyr Gibbs: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup helps.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 4 final result
Jahmyr Gibbs scored more. The pregame lean was right.
Derrick Henry: 14.9 Half PPR · Jahmyr Gibbs: 15.7 Half PPR.