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Week 8 lineup decision · updated Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST

Chuba Hubbard or Derrick Henry: who should I start?

Start Derrick Henry over Chuba Hubbard in Week 8. The Half PPR projection is 13.8 to 12.6.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Photograph of Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard

CAR vs. GB
Floor3.3
Median12.6
Ceiling15.2

Recent PPG: 16.3

Recent volume: 21.0

Snap share: 78%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Start lean
Photograph of Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry

BAL vs. BUF
Floor10.4
Median13.8
Ceiling21.3

Recent PPG: 11.3

Recent volume: 18.5

Snap share: 55%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 8 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Derrick Henry

1.9-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Chuba Hubbard

CAR vs. GB
Floor
2.6
Projection
11.4
Ceiling
14.3
Recommended start

Derrick Henry

BAL vs. BUF
Floor
10.1
Projection
13.3
Ceiling
20.7
Half PPR

Start Derrick Henry

1.2-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Chuba Hubbard

CAR vs. GB
Floor
3.3
Projection
12.6
Ceiling
15.2
Recommended start

Derrick Henry

BAL vs. BUF
Floor
10.4
Projection
13.8
Ceiling
21.3
PPR

Start Derrick Henry — close call

0.5-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Chuba Hubbard

CAR vs. GB
Floor
3.9
Projection
13.8
Ceiling
16.7
Recommended start

Derrick Henry

BAL vs. BUF
Floor
11.2
Projection
14.3
Ceiling
21.8

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two relevant running-back options in a similar weekly range, compared through touches, receiving work, matchup and current availability.

Chuba Hubbard: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Derrick Henry: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup helps.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 8 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 8 final result

Chuba Hubbard scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.

Chuba Hubbard: 21.4 Half PPR · Derrick Henry: 13.0 Half PPR.

More Week 8 decisions

Keep working through the close calls.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →