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Week 8 lineup decision · updated Nov 2, 2026, 8:34 AM EST

Ashton Jeanty or Jaylen Warren: who should I start?

Start Jaylen Warren over Ashton Jeanty in Week 8. The Half PPR projection is 15.9 to 13.6.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Ashton Jeanty carrying the football in 2025

Ashton Jeanty

LV vs. NYJ
Floor8.5
Median13.6
Ceiling16.4

Recent PPG: 14.1

Recent volume: 16.0

Snap share: 65%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Start lean
Photograph of Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren

PIT vs. CLE
Floor8.5
Median15.9
Ceiling15.9

Recent PPG: 18.0

Recent volume: 20.0

Snap share: 69%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 8 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Jaylen Warren

3.1-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Ashton Jeanty

LV vs. NYJ
Floor
6.4
Projection
11.3
Ceiling
13.1
Recommended start

Jaylen Warren

PIT vs. CLE
Floor
7.5
Projection
14.4
Ceiling
14.4
Half PPR

Start Jaylen Warren

2.3-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Ashton Jeanty

LV vs. NYJ
Floor
8.5
Projection
13.6
Ceiling
16.4
Recommended start

Jaylen Warren

PIT vs. CLE
Floor
8.5
Projection
15.9
Ceiling
15.9
PPR

Start Jaylen Warren

1.5-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

Ashton Jeanty

LV vs. NYJ
Floor
10.2
Projection
15.9
Ceiling
19.6
Recommended start

Jaylen Warren

PIT vs. CLE
Floor
9.8
Projection
17.4
Ceiling
17.4

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

A custom RB decision using recorded scoring, recent opportunity, opponent, and current-week availability.

Ashton Jeanty: recent role lowers the estimate, and the matchup helps. Jaylen Warren: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 8 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 8 final result

Jaylen Warren scored more. The pregame lean was right.

Ashton Jeanty: 8.8 Half PPR · Jaylen Warren: 20.8 Half PPR.

More Week 8 decisions

Keep working through the close calls.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →