Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA vs. KCFloor14.0
Median19.2
Ceiling22.7
Recent PPG: 20.1
Recent volume: 12.0
Snap share: 88%
Availability: No current-week designation
Week 7 lineup decision · updated Oct 20, 2026, 7:55 PM EDT
Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Kyren Williams: who should I start?
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba over Kyren Williams in Week 7. The Half PPR projection is 19.2 to 17.6.
The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.
SEA vs. KCOpen player file →
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. LVFloor12.7
Median17.6
Ceiling18.2
Recent PPG: 18.8
Recent volume: 20.0
Snap share: 73%
Availability: No current-week designation
Scoring changes the call
4 points per passing TDWeek 7 projection by format.
Standard
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba — close call
0.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA vs. KC- Floor
- 10.5
- Projection
- 15.3
- Ceiling
- 18.8
Other option
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. LV- Floor
- 11.8
- Projection
- 15.2
- Ceiling
- 16.6
Half PPR
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba
1.6-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA vs. KC- Floor
- 14.0
- Projection
- 19.2
- Ceiling
- 22.7
Other option
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. LV- Floor
- 12.7
- Projection
- 17.6
- Ceiling
- 18.2
PPR
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba
3.1-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA vs. KC- Floor
- 17.8
- Projection
- 23.1
- Ceiling
- 26.7
Other option
Kyren Williams
LAR vs. LV- Floor
- 13.1
- Projection
- 20.0
- Ceiling
- 20.7
Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.
Why the model leans this way
Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.
Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is tougher. Kyren Williams: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral.
Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 7 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.
Week 6 final result
Jaxon Smith-Njigba scored more. The pregame lean was right.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 19.4 Half PPR · Kyren Williams: 8.2 Half PPR.
More Week 7 decisions
Keep working through the close calls.
FLEX · 2.3-point leanKyren Williams over Amon-Ra St. Brown17.6–15.3 Half PPR →FLEX · Close callBijan Robinson over Jaxon Smith-Njigba20.1–19.2 Half PPR →FLEX · 2.5-point leanKyren Williams over Brock Bowers17.6–15.1 Half PPR →FLEX · 3.2-point leanKyren Williams over CeeDee Lamb17.6–14.4 Half PPR →FLEX · 4.5-point leanKyren Williams over Chris Olave17.6–13.1 Half PPR →FLEX · 1.4-point leanChristian McCaffrey over Jaxon Smith-Njigba20.6–19.2 Half PPR →