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Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM EDT

CeeDee Lamb or Kyren Williams: who should I start?

Start CeeDee Lamb over Kyren Williams in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 20.2 to 18.8.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Photograph of CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb

DAL vs. TB
Floor11.1
Median20.2
Ceiling20.2

Recent PPG: 23.4

Recent volume: 14.5

Snap share: 84%

Availability: Full Participation in Practice

Open player file →
Photograph of Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams

LAR vs. BUF
Floor13.2
Median18.8
Ceiling18.9

Recent PPG: 19.8

Recent volume: 25.5

Snap share: 77%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Scoring changes the call

Week 5 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Kyren Williams — close call

0.6-point gapHigh confidence
Other option

CeeDee Lamb

DAL vs. TB
Floor
7.9
Projection
16.1
Ceiling
16.1
Recommended start

Kyren Williams

LAR vs. BUF
Floor
12.3
Projection
16.7
Ceiling
17.3
Half PPR

Start CeeDee Lamb

1.4-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

CeeDee Lamb

DAL vs. TB
Floor
11.1
Projection
20.2
Ceiling
20.2
Other option

Kyren Williams

LAR vs. BUF
Floor
13.2
Projection
18.8
Ceiling
18.9
PPR

Start CeeDee Lamb

3.5-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

CeeDee Lamb

DAL vs. TB
Floor
14.4
Projection
24.4
Ceiling
24.4
Other option

Kyren Williams

LAR vs. BUF
Floor
13.6
Projection
20.9
Ceiling
20.9

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.

CeeDee Lamb: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral. Kyren Williams: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup helps.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 4 final result

CeeDee Lamb scored more. The pregame lean was right.

CeeDee Lamb: 32.8 Half PPR · Kyren Williams: 31.7 Half PPR.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →