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Week 5 lineup decision · updated Oct 10, 2026, 1:57 PM EDT

Bijan Robinson or CeeDee Lamb: who should I start?

Start Bijan Robinson over CeeDee Lamb in Week 5. The Half PPR projection is 22.4 to 20.1.

The lean blends recorded scoring, recent workload, opponent positional defense and only same-week listed availability. Recheck the official inactive list before kickoff.

Start lean
Bijan Robinson on the field in 2025

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs. BAL
Floor9.7
Median22.4
Ceiling27.3

Recent PPG: 24.6

Recent volume: 26.0

Snap share: 66%

Availability: No current-week designation

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Photograph of CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb

DAL vs. TB
Floor11.1
Median20.1
Ceiling20.1

Recent PPG: 23.4

Recent volume: 14.5

Snap share: 84%

Availability: Full Participation in Practice

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Scoring changes the call

Week 5 projection by format.

4 points per passing TD
Standard

Start Bijan Robinson

4.3-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs. BAL
Floor
8.5
Projection
20.3
Ceiling
25.3
Other option

CeeDee Lamb

DAL vs. TB
Floor
7.9
Projection
16.0
Ceiling
16.0
Half PPR

Start Bijan Robinson

2.3-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs. BAL
Floor
9.7
Projection
22.4
Ceiling
27.3
Other option

CeeDee Lamb

DAL vs. TB
Floor
11.1
Projection
20.1
Ceiling
20.1
PPR

Start Bijan Robinson — close call

0.2-point gapHigh confidence
Recommended start

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs. BAL
Floor
11.0
Projection
24.5
Ceiling
30.3
Other option

CeeDee Lamb

DAL vs. TB
Floor
14.4
Projection
24.3
Ceiling
24.3

Floor and ceiling show the lower and upper ends of the player's recent scoring range. The projection is the middle estimate after current role, matchup, and same-week availability are applied.

Why the model leans this way

Role first. Matchup second. Availability always visible.

Two viable FLEX options with similar weekly projections, compared through recent opportunity, scoring format, matchup and current availability.

Bijan Robinson: recent role is near baseline, and the matchup is neutral. CeeDee Lamb: recent role raises the estimate, and the matchup is neutral.

Availability adjustments apply only when the source contains a Week 5 report. Older designations remain visible in the injury archive but do not reduce this projection.

Week 4 final result

CeeDee Lamb scored more. The pregame lean was wrong.

Bijan Robinson: 27.2 Half PPR · CeeDee Lamb: 32.8 Half PPR.

Recent usageCheck snaps and opportunities →AvailabilityOpen the injury report →Rest of seasonCompare redraft value →